I know the format wars issue is beyond played out, but I’ve come to a startling realization: Sony will win.
How, do you ask? Look at it from this perspective. Has anyone seen the commercials for movies that are available for HD-DVD or Blu-Ray? No doubt you have, but has anyone really thought twice about it? No, and they shouldn’t. And that’s how Sony will win.
People are going to buy PS3’s, there’s no doubt there, but I can’t see many people buying an HD-DVD player anytime soon. Only the early adopter crowd will even bother, and even some of them are questioning switching over so soon. No normal consumer is going to understand or even care about the differences these new devices will bring to viewing movies when compared to regular DVD’s.
Also, all new movies coming out for Blu-Ray and HD-DVD are also coming out for DVD. So where’s the need? 1080p isn’t the end-all, be-all of movie resolutions. Trust me, you can live without it.
In one year, there will be millions of Blu-Ray players in the world, cleverly disguised as PS3’s. And as for HD-DVD, no one will have enough motivation to even bother.
So, in the end, Sony wins. Only because no one gave a shit in the first place.